Study of the impact of the war on Ukraine's agricultural markets using the EMSMA methodology. 2022 - Q3 2025

Study of the impact of the war on Ukraine's agricultural markets using the EMSMA methodology. 2022 - Q3 2025
General characteristics
Date of Preparation: September 2025 year
Number of pages: 63, Arial, 1 interval, 10 skittles
Graphs and charts: 35
Tables: 20
Payment method: prepayment
Production method: e-mail or courier electronically or in printed form
Report language: Ukrainian, Russian, English
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Detailed contents:

1. Brief Description of the Market Research Methodology
1.1. Components of the Systems under the Standard EMSMA Considered in Greater Detail; Key Questions Addressed by the Report
1.2. Regional Division of Ukraine: Map by Sectors of Impact According to the Standard EMSMA
1.3. Criteria for Respondent Selection under the Standard EMSMA
2. Major Events Affecting the Agricultural Market and the State of Agricultural Sectors During 2022–2025
3. Crop Production
3.1. Dynamics of the Main Sector Indicators During 2022–2025
3.2. The impact of inputs (factors, auxiliary elements of market systems) in crop production. Dynamics of changes in respondents' answers regarding their status and availability during 2022-2025.
4. Livestock
4.1. Dynamics of the main indicators of the sector during 2022–2025
4.2. Influence of inputs (factors, auxiliary elements of market systems) in livestock farming. Dynamics of respondents’ answers regarding their condition and availability during 2022–2025
5. Conclusions. Changes in trends of the agricultural sector during 2022–2025. The role of the AGRO Programme
Annex A. Survey questionnaire for representatives of crop production, livestock, and processing

List of Tables:

1. Key events affecting the agricultural market and the state of agricultural sectors during 2022–2025
2. List of goods temporarily banned for export from Ukraine in 2022
3. Dynamics of the Impact of Factors on the Activities of Agricultural Producers During Q4 2022–Q2 2025 (Based on Survey Results), Scores (Five-Point Scale)
4. Dynamics of sown area, harvested area, gross yield, and productivity of rye, barley, wheat, and maize in 2021 – as of 1 September 2025, thousand ha, thousand centners, centners/ha
5. Dynamics of export volumes of major grains and processed products for the 2021/2022, 2022/2023, 2023/2024, and 2024/2025 marketing years, million tonnes, USD billion.
6. Dynamics of export volumes of major grains and processed products for the 2021/2022, 2022/2023, 2023/2024, and 2024/2025 marketing years, and for the 2025/2026 marketing year as of 19 September 2025, million tonnes, %
7. Sown and harvested area, production volume (gross yield), and yield indicators of major oilseed crops for the period 2022–01.09.2025, thousand ha, thousand centners, centners/ha.
8. Dynamics of export volumes of major oilseed crops and processing products for the 2021/2022, 2022/2023, 2023/2024, and 2024/2025 marketing years, million tonnes, billion USD
9. Dynamics of export volumes of major oilseed crops and processing products for the 2021/2022, 2022/2023, 2023/2024, and 2024/2025 marketing years, and for the 2025/2026 marketing year as of 28 August 2025, thousand tonnes, %
10. Dynamics of sown area, harvested area, gross yield, and productivity of potatoes and vegetable crops produced by enterprises in 2021 – as of 1 September 2025, thousand ha, thousand centners, centners/ha
11. Dynamics of sown area, harvested area, gross yield, and productivity of apples, apricots, peaches, and plums produced by enterprises in 2021 – as of 1 September 2025, thousand ha, thousand centners, centners/ha
12. Dynamics of sown area, harvested area, gross output, and yield of raspberries and blackberries, cherries, sweet cherries, bilberries, and blueberries by enterprises in 2021 – 1 September 2025, thousand ha, thousand centners, centners/h
13. Capacity of the bakery products market in Ukraine, 2021-2024, in monetary terms, billion UAH
14. Positions of Ukraine in some key agricultural categories in world exports in 2024: primary crop production and processing
15. Dynamics of mineral and organic fertiliser and pesticide consumption by crop in 2021–2024, as % of sown area
16. Dynamics of changes in the total number of cattle and cows in Ukraine for the period 01.01.2021–01.09.2025, thousand heads
17. Dynamics of dairy product exports from Ukraine by product category for the period 2021–8 months of 2025, thousand tonnes
18. Dynamics of changes in the total number of pigs in Ukraine for the period 01.01.2021–01.09.2025, thousand heads.
19. Dynamics of changes in the total number of poultry in Ukraine for the period 01.01.2021–01.09.2025, million heads
20. Dynamics of the availability and condition of factors according to surveys conducted during Q4 2022 – Q2 2025 and the AGRO Programme influencing them (↑ —deterioration, ↓ — improvement)

List of graphs and charts:

1. Dynamics of the sector’s damages and losses caused by hostilities, June 2022 – February 2024, according to KSE estimates, USD billion
2. Dynamics of Ukraine’s foreign trade in electricity in 2021–August 2025, in quantitative terms, million MWh
3. Dynamics of global wheat and maize prices for the period 01.07.2022–01.09.2025, USD per tonne.
4. Price dynamics for soybeans, rapeseed, and sunflower oil for the period 01.07.2022–01.09.2025, USD per tonne
5. Dynamics of the cost of the borsch set over nine months in 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025, UAH
6. Exports of frozen berries, thousand tonnes
7. Dynamics of cereal production and exports for the period 2021 – H1 2025, thousand tonnes
8. Dynamics of exports of wheat, corn and peas, thousand tonnes
9. Dynamics of respondents’ answers – crop production segment – regarding the state and accessibility of transport and export logistics during Q4 2022–Q2 2025, points
10. Dynamics of changes in respondents’ answers – representatives of the processing segment – regarding the state and accessibility of transport and export logistics during Q4 2022–Q2 2025, points
11. Dynamics of respondents’ answers – crop production segment – regarding the state and accessibility of water resources and irrigation services during Q3 2023–Q2 2025, points
12. Dynamics of the Consumer Sentiment Index, July 2021 – July 2025, points, %
13. Dynamics of respondents’ answers – crop production segment – regarding the state of consumer purchasing power (demand) and number of consumers during Q4 2022–Q2 2025, points.
14. Dynamics of respondents’ answers – processing enterprises – regarding the state of consumer purchasing power (demand) and number of consumers during Q4 2022–Q2 2025, points
15. Dynamics of changes in respondents’ answers – representatives of the crop production segment – regarding the state and availability of fertilisers and plant protection products during Q2 2023–Q2 2025, points
16. Dynamics of changes in respondents’ answers – representatives of the crop production segment – regarding the timeliness of payments for goods and the negative impact of relations with government bodies or legislative restrictions during Q4 2022–Q2 2025, points
17. Dynamics of changes in respondents’ answers – representatives of the processing segment – regarding the timeliness of payments for goods and the negative impact of relations with government bodies or legislative restrictions during Q4 2022–Q2 2025, points
18. Dynamics of changes in respondents’ answers – representatives of crop production – regarding the state and availability of storage services and agricultural machinery during Q4 2022 – Q2 2025, points
19. Dynamics of changes in respondents’ answers – representatives of the processing segment – regarding the state and availability of storage services during Q4 2022–Q2 2025, points
20. Dynamics of changes in respondents’ answers – representatives of crop production – regarding the state and availability of factors: staffing, energy resources, and weather conditions, points
21. Dynamics of changes in respondents’ answers – representatives of the processing segment – regarding the state and availability of factors: staffing and energy resources, points
22 Dynamics of beef cattle meat production in Ukraine for the period 2021-August 2025, thousand tonnes
23. Dynamics and structure of beef exports from Ukraine in 2021–8 months of 2025, by live, frozen and chilled forms, in physical terms, thousand tonnes.
24. Dynamics of milk production in Ukraine by producer type for the period 2021–8 months of 2025, million tonnes
25. Dynamics of pork production in Ukraine for the period 2021–August 2025, thousand tonnes.
26. Dynamics of pork exports from Ukraine for the period 2021–August 2025, thousand tonnes
27. Dynamics of poultry production and exports in Ukraine, 2021–August 2025, thousand tonnes
28. Dynamics of production and exports of poultry eggs in Ukraine, 2021–August 2025, thousand tonnes
29. Dynamics of changes in responses of livestock representatives regarding the condition and availability of transport and export shipments during Q4 2022 – Q2 2025, points
30. Dynamics of changes in responses of livestock representatives regarding the condition of population purchasing power (demand) and the number of consumers during Q4 2022 – Q2 2025, points
31. Dynamics of changes in responses of livestock representatives regarding the timeliness of payments for goods and the negative impact of relations with state authorities or legislative restrictions during Q4 2022 – Q2 2025, points
32. Dynamics of production and import of veterinary medicines during 2021 – H1 2025, million USD
33. Index of feed component prices (fodder crops) in Ukraine for 2024, points
34. Dynamics of changes in responses of livestock representatives regarding the condition and availability of factors: veterinary medicines and services, and animal feed, points
35. Dynamics of changes in responses of livestock representatives regarding the condition and availability of factors: human resources, energy resources, and weather conditions, points

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