Study of the impact of the war on Ukraine's agricultural markets using the EMSMA methodology. Q4 of 2024.
| Date of Preparation: | December 2024 year |
| Number of pages: | 77, Arial, 1 interval, 10 skittles |
| Graphs and charts: | 18 |
| Tables: | 6 |
| Payment method: | prepayment |
| Production method: | e-mail or courier electronically or in printed form |
| Report language: | Ukrainian, Russian, English |
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Detailed contents:
1. Brief description of the market research methodology
1.1. Regional distribution of Ukraine: map by sectors of influence
1.2. Criteria for selecting respondents and studying the impact of the war
1.3 Main factors that influenced the agricultural sector during the study period
2. General factors influencing the market: destruction/damage/loss, lack of fertilizers and pesticides, displacement of population and labor resources, storage and logistics systems, lack of working capital, etc.
3. Service markets for agricultural MSMEs: veterinarians, drones, agricultural machinery, supply and application of fertilizers and plant protection products, laboratory tests, etc.
4. Analysis of state and international support for the agricultural sector of Ukraine for October-December 2024: list of main grant programs and areas of support, cost of funds raised, description of the main problems of obtaining support
5. Analysis of the impact of certain factors and market systems on individual sectors of the agricultural sector during martial law in the country using the EMSMA methodology
5.1. Crop production
5.1.1. General situation as of December 2024: cereals and oilseeds, vegetables, fruits and berries
5.1.2. Changes that occurred during 2022-2024 in production, processing, exports and domestic consumption - in general by crop products and separately for each type of product if relevant information is available
5.1.3. Conclusions and recommendations for the involvement of the USAID AGRO Program by sectors
5.2. Livestock production
5.2.1. General situation as of December 2024: meat and dairy products, poultry
5.2.2. Changes that occurred during 2022-2024 in production, processing, exports and domestic consumption - in general by sectors and separately for each type of product if relevant information is available
5.2.3. Conclusions and recommendations on the involvement of the USAID AGRO Program by sectors
5.3. Processing of agricultural products, including craft
5.3.1. General situation as of December 2024
5.3.2. Changes that occurred during 2022-2024 in the production, export and domestic consumption of processed products
5.3.3. Conclusions and recommendations on the involvement of the USAID AGRO Program by sectors
6. General conclusions and recommendations
6.1. Conclusions and forecasts of key factors that will require the most attention during 2025
6.2. Opportunities for the involvement of the USAID AGRO Program in supporting the agricultural sector of Ukraine
Appendix A. Survey questionnaire
List of Tables:
1. The most important factors influencing the agricultural sector in Ukraine, October-December 2024, assessment of farmers (if there is a response)
2. List and structuring of changes in the crop production sector during 2022-2024
3. List and structuring of changes in the livestock sector during 2022-2024
4. List and structuring of changes in the processing sector during 2022-2024
5. Factors of significant and minor impact on agricultural activity in 2025, according to respondents
6. Dynamics of changes in the most problematic factors in the agricultural sector for 2023-2024, according to surveyed farmers
List of graphs and charts:
1. Export and import of electricity by Ukraine in 2024, thousand MWh
2. Dynamics of changes in the Business Expectations Index (BEI), January-November 2024
3. Staffing among respondent companies, number of enterprises and %
4. Structure of involvement of respondent companies in financial and material support programs for farmers over the past 2 years, as of Q4 2024
5. Dynamics of exports from Ukraine of grains, legumes (with products of their processing) and flour, July-December 2024, as of 12/30/2024 (data from the State Customs Service), thousand tons
6. The biggest problems for Ukrainian grain farmers, % of surveyed enterprises
7. Dynamics of cases of African swine fever (ASF) in Ukraine, 2021-2024
8. Dynamics of foreign trade in pork by UKTZED code 0203, tons, January-November 2024
9. Livestock in farms of all categories by region, thousands of heads, October 1, 2024
10. Dynamics of dairy product exports by type, thousands of US dollars, January-November 2023-2024
11. Shares of products of Ukrainian origin in the main chicken importing countries, %
12. Poultry meat supplies from Ukraine to foreign markets in January-November 2024, thousands of tons and million US dollars
13. Dynamics of prices of chicken eggs of the Kvochka brand (C1 10 pcs), UAH, 2022-2024
14. Priorities of business activities of respondent companies for the first half of 2025, %
15. Categories of business plans of surveyed enterprises for 2025, %
16. Awareness of respondent companies about the support program, %
17. Priority areas of international support programs for 2025, according to surveyed farmers, %
18. Priority areas of international support programs for the next 5 years, according to surveyed farmers, %
