Study of the impact of the war on Ukraine's agricultural markets using the EMSMA methodology. Q1 of 2025

Study of the impact of the war on Ukraine's agricultural markets using the EMSMA methodology. Q1 of 2025
General characteristics
Date of Preparation: March 2025 year
Number of pages: 43, Arial, 1 interval, 10 skittles
Graphs and charts: 19
Tables: 18
Payment method: prepayment
Production method: e-mail or courier electronically or in printed form
Report language: Ukrainian, Russian, English
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Detailed contents:

1. Brief description of the market research methodology
2. Analysis of the main factors of the flow to the agricultural market and the state of agricultural directions for the 1st quarter of 2025 (taking into account the export of goods to the USA)
2.1. Key factors affecting the agricultural sector
2.2. Crop Production
2.3. Livestock
3. Assessment of the share of American goods in the agricultural machinery and input markets and prospects for the development of American business in Ukraine
3.1. Agricultural machinery
3.2. Elevators
3.3. Irrigation systems
3.4 Precision Farming Equipment
3.5. Fertilisers
3.6. Plant Protection Products
3.7. Veterinary Medicine and Laboratory Testing
3.8. Other promising areas for the development of cooperation between American businesses in the Ukrainian agricultural sector
4. Results of a survey of representatives of American business and Ukrainian agricultural companies on the assessment of the investment climate in Ukraine and prospects for cooperation
4.1. Profile of the respondents
4.2. Assessment of the investment climate and development prospects for US businesses (based on responses from companies with US capital)
4.3. Assessing the interest of Ukrainian farmers in cooperation with American business
5. General conclusions on the prospects for the development of cooperation between American business and the agricultural sector of Ukraine
Annexe A. Survey questionnaire

List of Tables:

1. Changes in the key indicators of the Ukrainian agricultural market in January-March 2025 compared to the corresponding period of 2024
2. Changes in grain prices in Ukraine compared to Q1 2024, EXW, thousand UAH, USD per tonne
3. Dynamics of exports from Ukraine of grains, pulses (with their processed products) and flour in 2024/2025 MY, thsd tonnes as of 09.04.2025
4. Dynamics of Ukrainian grain exports to the USA and the share of Ukrainian exports in world exports to the USA according to UKTZED in physical terms, tonnes, %
5. Dynamics of Ukrainian grain exports to the US and the share of Ukrainian exports in global exports to the US according to UKTZED in monetary terms, USD thousand %
6. Dynamics of exports of oilseeds from Ukraine in 1Q 2024 - 1Q 2025, thousand tonnes
7. Dynamics of exports of chilled and frozen beef for January–February 2024 and 2025 in physical and monetary terms, tons, USD
8. Dynamics of imports of cattle, chilled and frozen beef for January–February 2024 and 2025, tons
9. Exports of Ukrainian dairy products in Q1 2025, thousand USD
10. Volume and share of dairy product exports of Ukrainian origin to the United States in physical terms in 2022–2024, tons, %
11. Volume and share of dairy product exports of Ukrainian origin to the United States in monetary terms in 2022–2024, thousand USD, %
12. Imports of dairy products in Q1 2025 to Ukraine, thousand USD
13. Dynamics of poultry meat exports from Ukraine in Q1 2024 and Q1 2025, thousand tons, million UAH
14. Volume of agricultural machinery imports to Ukraine by exporting countries in 2024, in monetary terms, million USD
15. Volume of fertiliser supplies to Ukraine by exporting countries in 2024, in physical terms, thousand tonnes
16. Geography of imports of plant protection products to Ukraine in 2024 in value terms, USD million
17. List of effective ways to use American international aid resources according to respondents (in descending order), calculated using a points system, %
18. Matrix of ways of using American international aid resources that were considered the most important by respondents who see prospects for investments in Ukraine

List of graphs and charts:

1. Dynamics of the Business Activity Expectations Index (BAEI) in Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024 %
2. Key policy rate growth dynamics for Q1 2025
3. Grain prices in Ukraine, EXW, thousand UAH per tonne
4. World prices for sunflower oil, USD per tonne
5. Potato price growth dynamics, UAH/kg
6. Dynamics of price growth for carrots, UAH/kg
7. Dynamics of foreign trade in pork (fresh, chilled or frozen) in January-February 2024 and 2025, tonnes
8. Export of live cattle in Q1 2024 and Q1 2025, thousand tons, million USD
9. Dynamics of egg production in Ukraine for the 1st quarter of 2025, million eggs
10. Consumer price index for eggs
11. Geographical structure of egg exports from Ukraine in Q1 2025, %
12. Largest companies in Ukraine with American capital (by net profit in 2024), UAH million
13. Dynamics of agricultural machinery imports of U.S. origin and its share in global imports to Ukraine in 2021–2024, million USD, %
14. Geographical structure of grain elevators, 2024, units.
15. Dynamics of fertiliser imports from the United States to Ukraine in 2021–2024, million USD, %
16. Dynamics of imports of plant protection products from the USA to Ukraine in 2022-2024, USD million, %
17. Dynamics of imports of veterinary drugs and vaccines from the USA to Ukraine in 2022-2024, USD million, %
18. The structure of respondents - Ukrainian companies - by type of activity in agriculture, %
19. The structure of the use of material and technical means of American production by survey respondents (agricultural producers), N=47, %

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