Report on the results of the study of the impact of the war on the agricultural markets of Ukraine using the EMSMA methodology. July-September 2024.

Report on the results of the study of the impact of the war on the agricultural markets of Ukraine using the EMSMA methodology. July-September 2024.
General characteristics
Date of Preparation: October 2024 year
Number of pages: 43, Arial, 1 interval, 10 pt
Graphs and charts: 20
Tables: 8
Payment method: prepayment
Production method: e-mail or courier electronically or in printed form
Report language: ukrainian, russian, english
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Detailed contents:

1. Brief description of the market research methodology
1.1. Regional distribution of Ukraine (map by sectors of influence)
1.2. Criteria for selecting respondents and studying the impact of the war
1.3 Main factors that influenced the agricultural sector
2. General factors influencing the market (destruction/damage/loss; lack of fertilizers and crop protection products, displacement of population and labor resources, storage and logistics systems, lack of working capital)
3. Service markets for agricultural MSMEs (veterinarians, agricultural machinery, supply and application of fertilizers, laboratory tests)
4. Analysis of state and international support for the agricultural sector of Ukraine for July-September 2024
5. Analysis of the impact of certain factors on individual sectors of the agricultural sector during martial law in the country
5.1. Crop production
5.1.1. General situation as of October 1, 2024 (cereals, oilseeds, vegetables, fruits and berries)
5.1.2. Changes that occurred during the III quarter of 2024 in production, exports and domestic consumption
5.1.3. Conclusions and recommendations for the involvement of support programs
5.2. Livestock
5.2.1. General situation as of October 1, 2024 (meat products, dairy products, poultry)
5.2.2. Changes that occurred during the III quarter of 2024 in production, processing, exports and domestic consumption
5.2.3. Conclusions and recommendations (if any) for the involvement of the USAID Program by industry
5.3. Processing of agricultural products (including craft)
5.3.1. General situation as of October 1, 2024 - desk research
5.3.2. Changes that occurred during the III quarter of 2024 in production, exports and domestic consumption compared to the II quarter of 2024.
5.3.3. Conclusions and recommendations (if any) on the involvement of the USAID Program by sector

List of Tables:

Table 1 Production volume (gross harvest) of grain thousand tons, comparison 2022 - 2023 and September 2024
Table 2 Comparison of prices of vegetables for the "borscht set" in the third quarter of 2023 and 2024, UAH/kg
Table 3 Assessment of the state of market systems for grains and oilseeds in the third quarter of 2024
Table 4 Assessment of the state of market systems for vegetables, fruits, berries in the third quarter of 2024
Table 5 Structure of dairy product exports in August 2024
Table 6 Assessment of the state of market systems for meat and poultry farming in the third quarter of 2024
Table 7 Assessment of the state of the market system for milk production in the third quarter of 2024
Table 8 Change in the share of respondents who identified factors as the most problematic in the coming months (until the end of the season), %

List of graphs and charts:

Diagram 1 Export and import of electricity by Ukraine in January-August 2024, thousand MWh
Diagram 2 Problems with fertilizers and crop protection products, according to the survey results in the 3rd quarter of 2024, number of respondents who mention one of the above problems (104 respondents were surveyed, 46 had no problems)
Diagram 3 Changes in fertilizer and crop protection product consumption according to the survey results in the 3rd quarter of 2024, number of respondents who mention one of the above problems (61 respondents answered the question)
Diagram 4 Types of assistance received by respondents during the study period, number of respondents
Diagram 5 Prices for grain crops in Ukraine, in the period July-September 2024, on EXW terms, UAH/ton
Diagram 6 Dynamics of grain crop exports in 2024, in kind, million tons
Diagram 7 Production volume (gross harvest) of oilseeds, comparison 2021-2023 and September 2024 (sunflower and soybean - according to the forecast of "Ukroliyaprom"), million tons
Diagram 8 Production volume (gross harvest) of oilseeds, comparison of 2022-2023 and September 2024 (sunflower and soybean - according to the forecast of "Ukroliyaprom"), million tons
Diagram 9 Prices for oilseed crops in Ukraine, July-September 2024, on EXW terms, UAH/ton
Diagram 10 Dynamics of oilseed exports in 2024, in physical terms, million tons
Diagram 11 Dynamics of retail prices for apples in 2023-2024, UAH/kg
Diagram 12 Dynamics of pig population in Ukraine in 2022-2024, million heads
Diagram 13 Dynamics of average purchase prices for pigs in live weight (according to processing enterprises), July-September 2024, in UAH/kg
Diagram 14 Change in cattle population as of August 1 2024 (compared to the same period in 2023), million heads
Diagram 15 Cattle slaughter volumes as of the first 9 months of 2022-2024, thousand tons
Diagram 16 Dynamics of retail prices for meat in 2024, UAH/kg
Diagram 17 Geographical structure of cattle as of August 1, 2024
Diagram 18 Dynamics of prices for raw milk in January 2023 - August 2024, UAH per kg
Diagram 19 Dynamics of retail prices for chicken eggs in January 2023 - August 2024, UAH per dozen
Diagram 20 Structure of export revenue in the dairy products segment in August 2024, in monetary terms

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