Analysis of the Ukrainian electricity market. 2025
| Date of Preparation: | April 2025 year |
| Number of pages: | 66, Arial, 1 interval, 10 skittles |
| Graphs and charts: | 36 |
| Tables: | 30 |
| Payment method: | prepayment |
| Production method: | e-mail or courier electronically or in printed form |
| Report language: | Ukrainian, Russian, English |
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Detailed contents:
Block 1
1. Market description
2. Description of scenarios and assumptions
3. Macroeconomic indicators
4. State of raw materials for the electricity market
4.1. Current state and historical indicators
4.2. Forecast of the state of markets, access to resources, opportunities and threats
5. Global and Ukrainian industrial trends in the energy industry
6. Conclusions on the impact of the external environment on the electricity market. Construction of a PESTEL analysis with an assessment of the impact of factors on the market in different scenarios
Block 2. Energy market
7. Energy market structure
7.2 Electricity production structure
7.3 Forecast of electricity import-export
8. Electricity consumption by type of consumer
9. Analysis of the impact of regulatory policy on the structure of electricity generation
10. Analysis of changes in the wholesale electricity market
11. Electricity transmission and distribution segment
12. General conclusions and assumptions on the Company's strategy
List of Tables:
1. HS codes of the studied goods
2. Development scenarios and assumptions for the development of Ukraine
3. Main forecast macroeconomic indicators according to the IMF until 2030
4. Main forecast macroeconomic indicators according to the Ministry of Finance until 2027
5. Main forecast macroeconomic indicators according to the NBU until 2027
6. Main macroeconomic indicators of Ukraine in the period 2025-2040
7. Dynamics of average import prices for thermal coal (anthracite) in the period 2015-2024, in dollar terms, USD/ton
8. Available capacity of solar power plants in Ukraine in 2023-2024, in natural terms, GW/h
9. Volumes of solar power plants installed in 2023-2024, in natural terms, GW, units
10. Market structure by the size of stations in Ukraine in 2023-2024, in physical terms, units
11. Import of panels in 2023-2024, in physical and monetary terms, thousand units, billion UAH
12. PESTLE analysis of the electricity market in Ukraine
13. Factors influencing the structure of the electricity market in Ukraine
14. Volume of electricity production in Ukraine in 2015-2024 by type of generation, billion kWh
15. Consumption (net) by detailed type of consumers in 2015-2021, billion kWh
16. Forecast dynamics of the average annual base load price index for RDD in Ukraine in 2025-2040 under the base-optimistic scenario, UAH/MWh
17. Forecast dynamics of the average annual base load price index for RDD in Ukraine in 2025-2040 under the pessimistic scenario, UAH/MWh
18. Tariff for electricity transmission services in the period 2019-2025, kopecks/kWh (excluding VAT)
19. Tariffs for electricity distribution services by energy distribution companies operating from January 1, 2025
20. Forecast of electricity transmission tariffs in the period 2025-2040* under the base-optimistic scenario, UAH/MWh (excluding VAT)
21. Forecast of the average annual tariff for electricity distribution in Ukraine, 1st class voltage under the base-optimistic scenario in the period 2025-2040*, UAH/MWh (excluding VAT)
22. Forecast of electricity transmission tariffs in the period 2025-2040* under the pessimistic scenario, UAH/MWh (excluding VAT)
23. Forecast of the average annual tariff for electricity distribution in Ukraine, 1st class voltage under the pessimistic scenario in the period 2025-2040*, UAH/MWh (excluding VAT)
24. Weighted average monthly price for electricity on the RDN market in 2019-1 half. 2025, UAH/MWh (excl. VAT)
25. Forecast weighted average price for electricity on the RDN market in 2025-2040 under the base-optimistic scenario, UAH/MWh (excl. VAT)
26. Forecast weighted average price for electricity on the RDN market in 2025-2040 under the pessimistic scenario, UAH/MWh (excl. VAT)
27. Forecast weighted average price (monthly) for electricity on the RDN market in 2025-2040 under the base-optimistic scenario, UAH/MWh (excl. VAT)
28. Forecast weighted average price (monthly) for electricity on the RDN market in 2025-2040 under the pessimistic scenario, UAH/MWh (excluding VAT)
29. Forecasted weighted average price (hourly) for electricity on the RDN market in 2025-2030 under the base-optimistic scenario, UAH/MWh (excluding VAT)
30. Forecasted weighted average price (hourly) for electricity on the RDN market in 2025-2030 under the pessimistic scenario, UAH/MWh (excluding VAT)
List of graphs and charts:
1. Nominal GDP of Ukraine in 2015-2024, in dollar terms, billion dollars
2. GDP per capita in Ukraine in 2015-2024, dollars
3. Industrial production index in Ukraine in 2015-2024, %
4. Trade balance in Ukraine in 2015-2024, billion dollars
5. Average annual exchange rate of hryvnia to dollar and euro in 2015-2025, UAH/dollar, UAH/euro
6. GDP deflator in 2015-2024 (annual), %
7. Consumer inflation index and producer price index in Ukraine in 2015-2024, %
8. Volumes of gold and foreign exchange reserves of Ukraine in 2015-2025, billion dollars
9. Volumes of foreign direct investment to Ukraine, billion dollars
10. Dynamics of natural gas consumption in Ukraine in 2015-2024, in physical terms, billion m3
11. Volume of natural gas production in Ukraine in 2015-2024,
12. in physical terms, billion m3
13. Volume of natural gas imports in Ukraine in 2015-2024, in physical terms, billion m3
14. Base price of natural gas in Ukraine in 2016-2025, price excluding VAT, UAH / 1000 m3 (as of January of each year)
15. Volume of thermal coal imports to Ukraine in 2015-2024, in physical terms, thousand tons
16. Electricity production in Ukraine in 2015-2024, billion kWh
17. Structure of electricity production in Ukraine in 2015-2024 by type of generation, %
18. Forecast of electricity production in Ukraine in 2025-2040 under the base-optimistic scenario, billion kWh
19. Forecast of electricity production in Ukraine in 2025-2040 under the pessimistic scenario, billion kWh
20. Forecast of electricity production in Ukraine in 2025-2040 by type of generation, %
21. Dynamics of electricity exports and imports in 2015-4 months 2025, in natural terms, billion kWh
22. Dynamics of electricity exports and imports in 2015-4 months 2025, in monetary terms, million dollars
23. Forecast of electricity exports and imports in 2025-2040 under the base-optimistic scenario, in terms of physical terms, billion kWh
24. Forecast of electricity exports and imports in 2025-2040 under the pessimistic scenario, in terms of physical terms, billion kWh
25. Volumes of electricity consumption (gross) in 2015-2025 in Ukraine, billion kWh
26. Electricity consumption (gross) per month in 2019-2023, billion kWh
27. Consumption (net) by type of consumer in 2015-2024, billion kWh
28. Forecast values of electricity consumption (gross) in Ukraine in 2025-2040 under the base-optimistic scenario, billion kWh
29. Forecast values of electricity consumption in Ukraine in 2025-2040 under the pessimistic scenario, billion kWh
30. Forecast structure of electricity consumption in Ukraine by type of consumer in 2025-2040, %
31. Dynamics of the base load price index for RDD and monthly trading volume in Ukraine in 2021- 6 months 2025, UAH/MWh, MWh
32. Dynamics of the average annual base load price index for RDD in Ukraine in 2021- 6 months 2025, UAH/MWh
33. Tariff for electricity transmission services in the period 2019-2025, UAH/MWh (excluding VAT)
34. Average annual tariff for electricity distribution services in Ukraine of voltage class 1 in the period 2019-6 months 2024, UAH/MWh (excluding VAT)
35. Average annual tariff for electricity distribution services in Ukraine of voltage class 2 in the period 2019-6 months 2024, UAH/MWh (excluding VAT)
36. Weighted average price for electricity on the RDN market in 2019-1 half 2025, UAH/MWh (excluding VAT)
