Analysis of the Ukrainian electricity market. 2025

Analysis of the Ukrainian electricity market. 2025
General characteristics
Date of Preparation: May 2025 year
Number of pages: 46, Arial, 1 interval, 10 skittles
Graphs and charts: 11
Tables: 28
Payment method: prepayment
Production method: e-mail or courier electronically or in printed form
Report language: Ukrainian, Russian, English
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Detailed contents:

1. General characteristics of the electricity market of Ukraine
1.1. Market description. Main participants and market structure
1.2. Market trends
- Factors influencing the market
- Damage (operators, stations and capacity)
1.3. Analysis of the processes of liberalization and support of energy facilities by the state: volumes, dynamics, features, etc.
1.4. General market indicators.
- Generation volumes and energy consumption - in general and by types of generation
- Degree of damage - in general and by types of generation
- Load on the network
- Current and expected base and peak load on networks in Ukraine
2. Production and sales dynamics
2.1. Total generation volume - in general and by types of generation
2.2. Estimation of quarterly/monthly generation volume by type of power plant
3. Main operators
3.1. List of main market operators and their description. List, type and capacity of operating and planned power plants in Ukraine
- NPPs
- TPPs
- HPPs and PSPs
- Traders
- RES (renewable power plants)
· SPPs (largest power plants)
· WPPs
· Biogas and biomass power plants
- prospects for construction of new power plants
3.2. Shares of main market operators by type of generation and form of ownership (state/private)
4. Foreign trade
4.1. Number of interconnectors
4.2. Export of electricity from Ukraine (volumes, geography, shares)
4.3. Import (volumes, geography, shares)
5. Electricity consumption
5.1. Number of household consumers and housing structure
5.2. Number and structure of commercial and industrial consumers
5.3. Assessment of quarterly electricity consumption by consumer groups
6. Price and pricing in the market
6.1. Dynamics of electricity prices for household and industrial consumers
6.2. Price structure and differences by region
6.3. Plans and forecasts of price changes taking into account the processes of restoration and creation of new generation capacities
7. Overview of waste incineration technologies, including with subsequent electricity generation
7.1. Description of household waste incineration technologies
- Incineration with heat recovery
- Conversion into RDF and SRF (Refuse Derived Fuel, Solid Refuse Fuel)
- Comparison with other types of fuel: calorific value and ash content
8. Investment attractiveness of the power industry (structural analysis)
8.1. Analysis of market opportunities and threats for further construction of SWOT analysis
8.2. PEST LE - analysis of factors influencing the market and assessment of the probability and degree of their influence.
8.3. Existing risks and barriers to market entry (electricity generation from waste)
9. Conclusions. Forecast indicators

List of Tables:

1. Main energy market operators and their location
2. Factors in the electricity market in Ukraine
3. Damage to thermal power plants since the beginning of a full-scale invasion (from open sources)
4. Damage to nuclear power plants since the beginning of a full-scale invasion
5. Damage to other plants since the beginning of a full-scale invasion
6. Tariffs for renewable energy in Ukraine as of May 2025, kopecks/kWh*
7. Dynamics of electricity production by generation sources in Ukraine for 2021-3 months 2025, in quantitative indicators, %
8. Degree of damaged capacities by types of generation as of May 2025, in quantitative indicators, GW
9. Structure of electricity generation for 2021-3 months 2025 in quantitative indicators, TWh
10. Monthly structure of electricity generation for 2021-3 months 2025, in quantitative indicators, TWh
11. Main operators in the nuclear power plant market
12. Main operators in the thermal power plant market
13. Main operators in the hydroelectric power plant market
14. Main traders in the market
15. Main operators in the solar power plant market
16. Main operators in the wind power plant market
17. Main operators in the nuclear power plant market and biogas and biomass
18. TOP – 10 main operators by capacity criterion in 2021
19. TOP – 10 main operators by capacity criterion as of May 2025
20. Share of countries importing electricity from Ukraine in 2021- 3 months 2025, in quantitative indicators, %
21. Share of countries exporting electricity from Ukraine in 2021- 3 months 2025, in quantitative indicators, %
22. Number of commercial metering points that belong to sites of a certain group
23. Tariffs for electricity distribution for non-household consumers from January 1, 2025
24. Comparative table of calorific value of different types of fuel
25. Opportunities and threats in the electricity market in Ukraine
26. PEST LE - analysis of the electricity market in Ukraine
27. Risk map in the electricity market in Ukraine
28. Barriers to entry into the electricity market and ways to overcome them

List of graphs and charts:

1. Dynamics of electricity production in Ukraine for 2021-3 months 2025, in quantitative indicators, TWh
2. Dynamics of electricity consumption in Ukraine for 2021-3 months 2025, in quantitative indicators, TWh
3. Hourly electricity consumption in Ukraine, in summer and winter
4. Electricity consumption (net) per month in 2021-3 months 2025, in quantitative indicators, thousand MWh
5. Dynamics of electricity exports from Ukraine in 2021-3 months 2025, in quantitative and value indicators, TWh/h, million USD USA
6. Dynamics of electricity imports to Ukraine in 2021-3 months 2025, in quantitative (TWh) and value (million USD) indicators
7. Average hourly actual volumes of electricity sales to household consumers, in quantitative indicators, MWh, March 2025
8. Structure of electricity consumption in 2021-3 months 2025, in quantitative indicators, %
9. Dynamics of electricity prices for household consumers (by the highest consumption) in 2021-3 months 2025, UAH with VAT per 1 kWh
10. Forecast indicators of the electricity market in 2024-2030, in physical and monetary terms, million MW, UAH/kWh
11. Location of the largest natural landfills in Ukraine in 2021* (left) and location of forecast power generation capacities by 2030 (right)

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